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[RRE]On the Horizon
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Date: Wed, 21 Apr 1999 13:42:52 -0400
From: "James L. Morrison"
Below is a description of the January-February issue of On the Horizon, which is available at http://horizon.unc.edu/horizon/online/html/7/1
You may be in an organization with an institutional online subscription, which you can see at
http://horizon.unc.edu/horizon/subscribe.asp
If you are not, ask your librarian to request a 60 day trial subscription, which will allow everyone in your organization to have access to OTH On-Line without logging on (your e-mail IP address does this automatically).
We constantly seek articles describing signals of change on the horizon that can affect educational organizations. Please consider writing for us. See our call for manuscripts at
http://horizon.unc.edu/horizon/write.asp.
Please forward this announcement to colleagues who could benefit from On the Horizon.
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ON THE HORIZON The Strategic Planning Resource for Education Professionals November/December 1998
IN THIS ISSUE:
The Technology Revolution: The George Washington University Forecast of Emerging Technologies Michael Kull and William E. Halal
According to Kull and Halal, revolutionary innovation -- driven primarily by advances in information technology (IT) -- is currently underway in all scientific and technological fields. Recognizing that fact is one thing; being prepared for the impact that IT developments will have on education is quite another. The authors explain how the George Washington University Forecast of Emerging Technologies, a unique program that issued its first report in 1990, uses the expertise of technology specialists to identify emerging technologies that will impact GWU over the next three decades. For any educational administrator feeling overwhelmed by the Technology Revolution, this article provides essential information on how to cope with changes that will do nothing less, Kull and Halal contend, than "transform modern civilization".
The Role of Technology in Education Today and Tomorrow: An Interview with Kenneth Green, Part II James L. Morrison
Kenneth Casey Green and James L. Morrison continue their conversation about the use of information technology tools in education (for the first installment of this interview, see the September/October 1998 OTH). Green readily admits that "infusing technology into the educational experience -- in K-12 and in higher education -- is not like a surgical or pharmaceutical intervention. To date there is no . . . definitive technology that consistently and reliably improves academic achievement and learning outcomes". He convincingly argues, however, that it would be "foolish" to reduce investments in IT-based learning, which provides individualized instruction, asynchronous learning, enhanced content, and information-rich resources. Green is the founder/director of the Campus Computing Project, the largest continuing study of the role of information technology in American higher education.
Will Universities Be Relics? What Happens When an Irresistible Force Meets an Immovable Object? John W. Hibbs
Peter Drucker predicts that, in 30 years, the traditional university will be nothing more than a relic. Should we listen or laugh? Hibbs examines Drucker's prophesy in the light of other unbelievable events, including the rapid transformation of the Soviet Union "from an invincible Evil Empire into just another meek door-knocker at International Monetary Fund headquarters". Given the mobility and cost concerns of today's students, as well as the growing tendency of employers to evaluate job-seekers' competencies rather than their institutional affiliations, Hibbs agrees that the brick-and-mortar university is doomed to extinction.
The Data Warehouse Revolution on the Web John H. Milam, Jr.
Some call it the "holy grail" for educational planners, and they are not talking about a loyal administrative assistant. Instead, the new technological object of reverence is the data warehouse: an online repository of useful management information that, with the advent of data streaming on the Web, has become both accessible and affordable. Milam evaluates the products that enable data streaming; he also applauds innovative data warehouse projects at the University of Minnesota and George Mason University.
Implications of the Attack on Tenure Laurence R. Marcus
Marcus examines every side of the debate about tenure in higher education, citing the reasons supporters give for maintaining -- and opponents give for abolishing -- this once-sacred practice that recently has grown so controversial. He suggests that, in order to find a resolution to this debate, educational administrators may begin to emulate elected public officials who regulate the terms and conditions of their staff's employment. "When Philadelphia Mayor Ed Rendell negotiated a city workers' contract that previously had restricted the administration's ability to monitor staff performance and improve productivity," Marcus writes, "he was hailed as 'the mayor who knew how to reinvent the American city'." Will university administrators follow suit, renegotiate faculty contracts, and use as leverage the big stick of abolishing tenure? Marcus weighs the odds. ```
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